Dylan Larkin vs William Karlsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 14 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Karlsson 51.3% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 23-23 in 46 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 55.8%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 51.8%
Neutral zone
Larkin 50.6%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Larkin
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
23
(46 meetings)
23
23
Larkin
Karlsson
Last 10: Larkin 4-6 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
7
8
Larkin
Karlsson
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
8
9
Larkin
Karlsson
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
8
6
Larkin
Karlsson
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (9,019)
51.8% (7,849)
-0.1%
Power Play
58.5% (2,125)
54.8% (1,048)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,122)
44.2% (1,109)
+6.0%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,850).
Larkin shoots left. Karlsson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,551).
Home / Away
Larkin
Karlsson
Home
54.0% (6,238)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
51.3% (6,028)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
Larkin
Karlsson
P1
52.7%
50.3%
P2
53.1%
51.3%
P3
52.1%
52.4%
OT
58.4%
44.9%
Final 5 min
53.2%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 17:47 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 09:38 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 08:47 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 05:35 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 00:16 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 16:28 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 13:38 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 02:42 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 14:30 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 10:52 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 3 | 06:41 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 16:16 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 12:58 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 01:26 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 08:35 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 14:22 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |