Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.4% vs 56.2%). Larkin wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 55.0% vs Karlsson 55.6% (-0.8%)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 57.3%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 53.0%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 50.8%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Larkin
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (943)
56.3% (739)
-0.4%
Power Play
57.4% (244)
58.6% (181)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (106)
47.2% (53)
-1.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Larkin is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (825).
Larkin shoots left. Karlsson is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Larkin
Karlsson
Home
56.0% (654)
56.5% (462)
Away
54.8% (639)
56.0% (511)
By Period
Larkin
Karlsson
P1
54.4%
57.1%
P2
55.9%
55.2%
P3
55.2%
56.7%
OT
64.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
56.2%