Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Gourde 49.5% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 61.4%
Defensive zone
Gourde 62.0%
Neutral zone
Gourde 53.4%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Larkin
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Larkin
Gourde
Last 10: Larkin 4-6 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
3
Larkin
Gourde
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
2
3
Larkin
Gourde
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
1
Larkin
Gourde
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
49.1% (731)
+2.7%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
54.3% (81)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
48.2% (85)
-0.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Larkin is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Larkin shoots left. Gourde is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (556).
Home / Away
Larkin
Gourde
Home
55.6% (662)
50.9% (479)
Away
48.3% (542)
47.8% (418)
By Period
Larkin
Gourde
P1
49.9%
51.2%
P2
52.7%
49.8%
P3
53.0%
47.5%
OT
68.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.3%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 12:27 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 12:14 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 08:15 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 00:05 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 14:45 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 14:40 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 16:18 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 11:42 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 2 | 01:14 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 1 | 16:51 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |