Dylan Larkin vs Zemgus Girgensons
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +16.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Girgensons 42.9% (+16.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 50.8%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 51.0%
Neutral zone
Girgensons 54.8%
Result
Zemgus Girgensons favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Larkin
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Larkin
Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
0
1
Larkin
Girgensons
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (773)
36.2% (94)
+16.2%
Power Play
58.6% (220)
0.0% (1)
+58.6%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (146)
41.2% (17)
+6.1%
On power play, Larkin has a +58.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Larkin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (762).
Larkin shoots left. Girgensons is 35.7% vs left-shot opponents (70).
Home / Away
Larkin
Girgensons
Home
51.9% (615)
38.0% (50)
Away
54.2% (524)
35.5% (62)
By Period
Larkin
Girgensons
P1
52.3%
43.2%
P2
53.2%
34.3%
P3
52.6%
32.5%
Final 5 min
56.7%
37.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
50.0%▬
50.0%
52.9%
Girgensons
30.0%▼
43.5%
36.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 03:43 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |