Dylan Larkin vs Zemgus Girgensons
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Girgensons 45.3% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 14-5 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 96.7%
Defensive zone
Larkin 77.3%
Neutral zone
Larkin 87.4%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 86.0%
86.0%
14.0%
Larkin
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
5
(19 meetings)
14
5
Larkin
Girgensons
Last 10: Larkin 6-4 Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
6
1
Larkin
Girgensons
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
5
4
Larkin
Girgensons
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
0
Larkin
Girgensons
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (9,019)
45.4% (2,700)
+6.3%
Power Play
58.5% (2,125)
49.1% (175)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,122)
42.2% (481)
+8.0%
On power play, Larkin has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,850).
Larkin shoots left. Girgensons is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,061).
Home / Away
Larkin
Girgensons
Home
54.0% (6,238)
45.3% (1,673)
Away
51.3% (6,028)
45.0% (1,683)
By Period
Larkin
Girgensons
P1
52.7%
45.7%
P2
53.1%
44.1%
P3
52.1%
45.5%
OT
58.4%
52.5%
Final 5 min
53.2%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 03:43 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 16:56 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 09:11 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 3 | 17:44 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 3 | 06:14 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 2 | 19:53 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 2 | 17:28 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 2 | 14:20 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 2 | 11:46 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 1 | 17:49 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 3 | 16:41 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 1 | 07:04 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 3 | 12:20 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 3 | 03:14 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 20, 2017 | 3 | 01:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 20, 2017 | 2 | 00:38 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Mar 20, 2017 | 1 | 11:39 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 20, 2017 | 2 | 07:46 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |