Dylan Larkin vs Zemgus Girgensons
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Girgensons 49.9% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 82.3%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 56.3%
Neutral zone
Larkin 61.7%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 63.0%
63.0%
37.0%
Larkin
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Larkin
Girgensons
Last 6: Larkin 4-2 Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
0
Larkin
Girgensons
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
1
2
Larkin
Girgensons
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
49.0% (210)
+2.8%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
63.6% (22)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
47.3% (55)
+0.1%
On power play, Girgensons has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Larkin is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Larkin shoots left. Girgensons is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (173).
Home / Away
Larkin
Girgensons
Home
55.6% (662)
52.1% (142)
Away
48.3% (542)
47.6% (145)
By Period
Larkin
Girgensons
P1
49.9%
54.3%
P2
52.7%
49.1%
P3
53.0%
44.8%
OT
68.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2021 | 3 | 06:14 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 2 | 19:53 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 2 | 17:28 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 2 | 14:20 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 2 | 11:46 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 1 | 17:49 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |