Dylan Larkin vs Zemgus Girgensons
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 55.0% vs Girgensons 48.5% (+7.7%)
Offensive zone
Larkin 53.5%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 57.4%
Neutral zone
Girgensons 53.0%
Result
Zemgus Girgensons favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Larkin
Girgensons
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (943)
46.3% (147)
+9.6%
Power Play
57.4% (244)
66.7% (3)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (106)
51.1% (47)
-4.9%
On even strength, Larkin has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Larkin is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (825).
Larkin shoots left. Girgensons is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (114).
Home / Away
Larkin
Girgensons
Home
56.0% (654)
34.2% (79)
Away
54.8% (639)
56.8% (118)
By Period
Larkin
Girgensons
P1
54.4%
56.5%
P2
55.9%
38.1%
P3
55.2%
47.7%
Final 5 min
53.8%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
47.7%