Dylan Larkin vs Zemgus Girgensons
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.1% vs Girgensons 46.9% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 79.4%
Defensive zone
Larkin 51.3%
Neutral zone
Larkin 58.5%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 79.4%
79.4%
20.6%
Larkin
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Larkin
Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Girgensons
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (886)
45.3% (128)
+8.3%
Power Play
59.3% (317)
50.0% (4)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (152)
45.3% (75)
+3.4%
On power play, Larkin has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Larkin is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Larkin shoots left. Girgensons is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (110).
Home / Away
Larkin
Girgensons
Home
56.6% (700)
41.0% (100)
Away
52.1% (655)
49.5% (107)
By Period
Larkin
Girgensons
P1
55.4%
41.9%
P2
54.7%
53.9%
P3
52.7%
40.0%
OT
59.1%
25.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
32.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2022 | 3 | 17:44 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |