Dylan Larkin vs Zemgus Girgensons
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Girgensons 48.5% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 70.0%
Defensive zone
Larkin 66.8%
Neutral zone
Larkin 57.7%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 68.9%
68.9%
31.1%
Larkin
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Larkin
Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Girgensons
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Girgensons
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,117)
47.2% (127)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (177)
50.0% (2)
+5.9%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Larkin is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Larkin shoots left. Girgensons is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (82).
Home / Away
Larkin
Girgensons
Home
54.7% (783)
50.0% (80)
Away
54.3% (816)
42.9% (49)
By Period
Larkin
Girgensons
P1
55.9%
40.5%
P2
56.1%
54.3%
P3
51.1%
45.7%
Final 5 min
51.8%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 16:56 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 09:11 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |