Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Strome wins 60.4% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 58.0% vs Sturm 53.6% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 91.2%
Defensive zone
Sturm 77.0%
Neutral zone
Strome 57.9%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 91.2%
91.2%
8.8%
Strome
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Strome
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
2
0
Strome
Sturm
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (856)
54.6% (271)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (12)
54.4% (90)
-12.7%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Strome is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (808).
Strome shoots left. Sturm is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Strome
Sturm
Home
55.7% (627)
53.0% (168)
Away
62.2% (539)
56.0% (193)
By Period
Strome
Sturm
P1
61.6%
58.2%
P2
54.5%
53.2%
P3
60.4%
52.3%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
58.7%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 03:37 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 17:13 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |