Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Strome wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 53.4% vs Sturm 57.1% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 83.7%
Defensive zone
Sturm 92.5%
Neutral zone
Sturm 79.5%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 66.9%
33.1%
66.9%
Strome
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Strome
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
0
Strome
Sturm
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Strome
Sturm
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
2
0
Strome
Sturm
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (968)
62.1% (356)
-9.5%
Power Play
56.9% (311)
75.0% (4)
-18.1%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
38.7% (62)
+23.8%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Strome is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Strome shoots left. Sturm is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Home / Away
Strome
Sturm
Home
53.4% (653)
61.8% (191)
Away
53.9% (634)
56.3% (231)
By Period
Strome
Sturm
P1
49.3%
58.0%
P2
54.6%
57.9%
P3
56.7%
60.6%
Final 5 min
56.9%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
53.7%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 17:31 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 14:56 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 10:45 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 07:15 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |