Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.3% vs 53.0%). Look for Sturm on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Strome wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 52.1% vs Sturm 52.5% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Sturm leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 88.5%
Defensive zone
Sturm 85.6%
Neutral zone
Strome 53.8%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Strome
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Strome
Sturm
Last 10: Strome 5-5 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
3
0
Strome
Sturm
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
5
Strome
Sturm
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
3
Strome
Sturm
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (684)
54.0% (480)
-3.4%
Power Play
58.9% (192)
28.6% (7)
+30.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
50.0% (102)
-16.7%
On power play, Strome has a +30.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Strome is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (580).
Strome shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Strome
Sturm
Home
51.3% (448)
54.0% (287)
Away
53.4% (431)
52.0% (302)
By Period
Strome
Sturm
P1
51.4%
53.5%
P2
54.6%
51.0%
P3
50.7%
55.1%
OT
66.7%
20.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
52.3%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2022 | 2 | 12:07 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 2 | 04:53 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 1 | 05:28 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 3 | 10:45 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 3 | 02:33 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 2 | 19:25 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 2 | 11:09 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 1 | 13:56 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 1 | 13:50 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 3 | 07:29 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 2 | 09:20 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 2 | 05:41 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 1 | 04:07 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |