Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 52.6% vs Sturm 59.0% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sturm 55.8%
Defensive zone
Sturm 95.7%
Neutral zone
Sturm 85.0%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 67.9%
32.1%
67.9%
Strome
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Strome
Sturm
Last 9: Strome 7-2 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
6
0
Strome
Sturm
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Strome
Sturm
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Strome
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (1,002)
60.6% (708)
-10.0%
Power Play
59.9% (299)
61.1% (18)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (19)
56.4% (101)
+1.5%
On even strength, Sturm has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Strome is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (888).
Strome shoots left. Sturm is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Home / Away
Strome
Sturm
Home
51.9% (700)
61.6% (451)
Away
53.9% (620)
58.2% (376)
By Period
Strome
Sturm
P1
51.6%
55.9%
P2
53.0%
58.9%
P3
54.3%
64.6%
OT
44.0%
70.6%
Final 5 min
53.9%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
52.8%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
60.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2023 | 3 | 12:48 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 2 | 13:31 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 1 | 19:36 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 1 | 19:33 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 1 | 19:30 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 1 | 18:05 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 1 | 17:46 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 1 | 14:22 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 1 | 12:14 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |