Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 51.6% vs Sturm 56.1% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 20-15 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 72.8%
Defensive zone
Sturm 93.4%
Neutral zone
Sturm 76.7%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 63.5%
36.5%
63.5%
Strome
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
15
(35 meetings)
20
15
Strome
Sturm
Last 10: Strome 8-2 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
12
1
Strome
Sturm
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
2
9
Strome
Sturm
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
6
5
Strome
Sturm
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (6,337)
57.1% (2,719)
-7.0%
Power Play
58.4% (1,519)
61.3% (62)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (68)
51.0% (498)
-5.4%
On even strength, Sturm has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Strome is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,269).
Strome shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,186).
Home / Away
Strome
Sturm
Home
51.1% (3,968)
57.1% (1,614)
Away
52.2% (3,956)
55.4% (1,665)
By Period
Strome
Sturm
P1
50.4%
56.5%
P2
52.1%
54.9%
P3
52.3%
57.4%
OT
52.8%
60.6%
Final 5 min
52.3%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
51.6%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 03:37 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 17:13 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 17:31 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 14:56 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 10:45 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 07:15 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 3 | 12:48 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 2 | 13:31 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 1 | 19:36 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 1 | 19:33 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 1 | 19:30 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 1 | 18:05 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 1 | 17:46 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 1 | 14:22 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 1 | 12:14 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 05:50 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 15:30 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 01:07 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 2 | 09:04 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 1 | 17:30 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |