Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 48.9% vs Sturm 55.2% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 86.5%
Defensive zone
Sturm 76.1%
Neutral zone
Strome 56.9%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Strome
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Strome
Sturm
Last 7: Strome 3-4 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Strome
Sturm
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
2
Strome
Sturm
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
3
1
Strome
Sturm
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (894)
56.1% (716)
-7.8%
Power Play
50.5% (182)
67.7% (31)
-17.2%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (6)
51.1% (133)
+15.6%
On power play, Sturm has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Strome is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Strome shoots left. Sturm is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Home / Away
Strome
Sturm
Home
46.4% (513)
55.6% (412)
Away
51.0% (569)
56.0% (468)
By Period
Strome
Sturm
P1
44.9%
59.6%
P2
50.8%
52.0%
P3
49.7%
55.5%
OT
77.8%
60.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
48.8%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 05:50 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 15:30 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 01:07 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 2 | 09:04 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 1 | 17:30 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 1 | 12:35 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 1 | 07:23 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |