Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Lindholm wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.8% vs Duchene 51.0% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 64.0%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 65.9%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 56.9%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 64.0%
64.0%
36.0%
Lindholm
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lindholm
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (555)
51.4% (177)
+2.1%
Power Play
61.1% (113)
75.0% (8)
-13.9%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (61)
20.0% (5)
+29.2%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +29.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Lindholm is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (521).
Lindholm shoots right. Duchene is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (69).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Duchene
Home
55.5% (431)
48.8% (41)
Away
52.7% (298)
52.3% (149)
By Period
Lindholm
Duchene
P1
52.3%
47.6%
P2
54.8%
62.3%
P3
56.3%
46.2%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
58.0%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.3%
Duchene
52.0%▲
49.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 15:13 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |