Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Lindholm wins 57.8% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.8% vs Duchene 51.6% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 64.1%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 76.9%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 69.1%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 64.1%
64.1%
35.9%
Lindholm
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lindholm
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (722)
51.2% (324)
+3.2%
Power Play
62.2% (164)
60.4% (53)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (83)
16.7% (6)
+32.7%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +32.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Lindholm is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (699).
Lindholm shoots right. Duchene is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Duchene
Home
55.8% (541)
51.6% (182)
Away
54.7% (428)
52.2% (201)
By Period
Lindholm
Duchene
P1
54.8%
49.6%
P2
55.7%
56.2%
P3
55.6%
48.6%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.3%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 15:13 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |