Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Lindholm wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.4% vs Duchene 52.1% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 72.4%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 81.6%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 56.7%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Lindholm
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Lindholm
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Lindholm
Duchene
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (1,124)
53.9% (193)
+3.8%
Power Play
52.9% (155)
49.2% (65)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (259)
100.0% (1)
-51.4%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +51.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Lindholm is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,140).
Lindholm shoots right. Duchene is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Duchene
Home
55.7% (760)
54.9% (113)
Away
55.8% (778)
51.4% (146)
By Period
Lindholm
Duchene
P1
53.7%
54.9%
P2
58.3%
52.7%
P3
55.1%
51.9%
OT
59.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.7%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 15:07 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 07:00 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |