Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Lindholm wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.9% vs Duchene 52.1% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 77.5%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 77.8%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 77.7%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 77.7%
77.7%
22.3%
Lindholm
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Lindholm
Duchene
Last 5: Lindholm 4-1 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
0
Lindholm
Duchene
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Duchene
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lindholm
Duchene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (937)
53.0% (723)
+1.9%
Power Play
60.4% (265)
49.5% (101)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (172)
43.8% (16)
+5.6%
On power play, Lindholm has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Lindholm is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,115).
Lindholm shoots right. Duchene is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (323).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Duchene
Home
54.4% (688)
54.9% (408)
Away
56.1% (686)
50.0% (432)
By Period
Lindholm
Duchene
P1
57.2%
52.5%
P2
54.3%
51.7%
P3
54.2%
53.6%
OT
54.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.1%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.2%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 15:56 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 07:02 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 16:04 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 11:21 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 03:04 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |