Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Lindholm wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 52.7% vs Duchene 52.8% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 77.6%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 80.3%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 57.5%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Lindholm
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Lindholm
Duchene
Last 6: Lindholm 2-4 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
2
Lindholm
Duchene
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lindholm
Duchene
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lindholm
Duchene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (1,156)
46.9% (162)
+5.5%
Power Play
59.6% (198)
73.2% (56)
-13.6%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (238)
100.0% (2)
-50.4%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +50.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Lindholm is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,221).
Lindholm shoots right. Duchene is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Duchene
Home
52.3% (771)
58.4% (125)
Away
53.5% (821)
48.4% (95)
By Period
Lindholm
Duchene
P1
50.7%
56.9%
P2
55.3%
52.5%
P3
54.0%
51.9%
OT
29.6%
80.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
52.0%▬
52.5%
52.9%
Duchene
52.0%▲
49.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2022 | OT | 01:13 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 19, 2022 | OT | 03:48 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 1 | 16:54 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 3 | 04:46 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 2 | 00:34 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |