Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.4% vs 56.5%). Look for Duchene on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Lindholm wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.9% vs Duchene 55.6% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 55.9%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 67.3%
Neutral zone
Duchene 63.8%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Lindholm
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Lindholm
Duchene
Last 10: Lindholm 3-7 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
1
Lindholm
Duchene
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
5
Lindholm
Duchene
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Lindholm
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (944)
56.5% (566)
+0.8%
Power Play
61.1% (162)
61.3% (62)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (230)
22.2% (9)
+26.9%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +26.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Lindholm is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,080).
Lindholm shoots right. Duchene is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Duchene
Home
55.2% (667)
56.6% (318)
Away
57.5% (669)
56.4% (319)
By Period
Lindholm
Duchene
P1
54.7%
57.2%
P2
55.5%
55.1%
P3
58.5%
55.6%
OT
64.7%
81.3%
Final 5 min
53.4%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
56.4%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 13:58 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 10:31 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 05:53 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 00:43 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 09:43 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 06:09 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 3 | 03:13 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 3 | 01:11 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 2 | 14:44 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 1 | 16:19 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 1 | 03:35 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |