Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Lindholm wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.0% vs Duchene 52.8% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 15-7 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 73.3%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 69.4%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 66.5%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 69.3%
69.3%
30.7%
Lindholm
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
7
(22 meetings)
15
7
Lindholm
Duchene
Last 10: Lindholm 7-3 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
4
1
Lindholm
Duchene
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
7
2
Lindholm
Duchene
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Lindholm
Duchene
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (598)
52.6% (1,112)
+0.4%
Power Play
62.2% (111)
56.0% (193)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
54.8% (84)
49.0% (49)
+5.8%
On power play, Lindholm has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Lindholm is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (587).
Lindholm shoots right. Duchene is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (481).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Duchene
Home
58.6% (403)
55.7% (652)
Away
50.3% (390)
50.4% (702)
By Period
Lindholm
Duchene
P1
59.2%
51.4%
P2
54.2%
53.9%
P3
50.0%
53.3%
OT
66.7%
55.6%
Final 5 min
53.3%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
54.5%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2018 | 3 | 17:00 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 1 | 17:42 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 1 | 12:36 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 3 | 18:15 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 3 | 09:06 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 3 | 06:02 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 3 | 03:29 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 3 | 00:38 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 2 | 14:08 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 2 | 10:56 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 2 | 07:32 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 2 | 01:25 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 1 | 19:58 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 1 | 07:46 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 1 | 01:28 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 2 | 01:03 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 1 | 13:41 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |