Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.7% vs 55.6%). Lindholm wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.4% vs Foligno 52.3% (+0.1%)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 55.1%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 60.9%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 61.0%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Lindholm
Foligno
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (1,124)
52.0% (50)
+5.7%
Power Play
52.9% (155)
66.7% (21)
-13.8%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (259)
0.0% (1)
+48.6%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +48.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Lindholm is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,140).
Lindholm shoots right. Foligno is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (32).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Foligno
Home
55.7% (760)
51.2% (41)
Away
55.8% (778)
61.3% (31)
By Period
Lindholm
Foligno
P1
53.7%
55.6%
P2
58.3%
48.0%
P3
55.1%
65.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
81.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.7%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
55.6%