Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on neutral-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Lindholm wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.8% vs Foligno 48.6% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Foligno leads 21-18 in 39 meetings
Offensive zone
Foligno 68.1%
Defensive zone
Foligno 64.2%
Neutral zone
Foligno 63.7%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 65.5%
34.5%
65.5%
Lindholm
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
21
(39 meetings)
18
21
Lindholm
Foligno
Last 10: Lindholm 5-5 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
9
5
Lindholm
Foligno
14 total
Defensive Zone
Even
8
8
Lindholm
Foligno
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
8
Lindholm
Foligno
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (8,505)
48.3% (2,810)
+5.5%
Power Play
59.3% (1,734)
52.3% (730)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (1,610)
44.0% (455)
+4.1%
On power play, Lindholm has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Lindholm is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,111).
Lindholm shoots right. Foligno is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,501).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Foligno
Home
54.1% (5,943)
49.9% (2,013)
Away
53.6% (5,906)
47.2% (1,984)
By Period
Lindholm
Foligno
P1
54.1%
47.6%
P2
54.5%
50.4%
P3
53.0%
48.3%
OT
53.6%
29.7%
Final 5 min
52.6%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
53.8%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 19:10 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 18:50 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 13:59 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 13:44 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 11:45 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 04:07 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:15 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 08:50 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 16:13 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 00:28 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 00:20 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 19:00 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 10:45 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 19:07 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 2 | 15:15 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 1 | 19:26 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 02:43 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 06:16 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 2 | 19:42 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 2 | 04:17 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |