Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Lindholm wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.9% vs Foligno 48.6% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 62.7%
Defensive zone
Foligno 64.9%
Neutral zone
Foligno 51.4%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Lindholm
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Lindholm
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
4
0
Lindholm
Foligno
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
2
Lindholm
Foligno
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
3
Lindholm
Foligno
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (937)
48.7% (495)
+6.2%
Power Play
60.4% (265)
56.9% (65)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (172)
43.8% (144)
+5.6%
On even strength, Lindholm has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Lindholm is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,115).
Lindholm shoots right. Foligno is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Foligno
Home
54.4% (688)
49.6% (359)
Away
56.1% (686)
47.2% (345)
By Period
Lindholm
Foligno
P1
57.2%
46.7%
P2
54.3%
52.7%
P3
54.2%
46.7%
OT
54.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.1%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.2%
Foligno
40.0%▼
51.0%
48.4%