Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lindholm wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.9% vs Foligno 52.0% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 71.8%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 74.8%
Neutral zone
Foligno 55.6%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Lindholm
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Lindholm
Foligno
Last 5: Lindholm 2-3 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
3
Lindholm
Foligno
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
0
Lindholm
Foligno
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (944)
53.4% (249)
+3.9%
Power Play
61.1% (162)
53.2% (154)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (230)
40.6% (32)
+8.5%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Lindholm is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,080).
Lindholm shoots right. Foligno is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Foligno
Home
55.2% (667)
57.3% (225)
Away
57.5% (669)
47.1% (210)
By Period
Lindholm
Foligno
P1
54.7%
53.0%
P2
55.5%
51.8%
P3
58.5%
52.6%
Final 5 min
53.4%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
56.4%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 16:13 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 00:28 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 00:20 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 19:00 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 10:45 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |