Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Lindholm wins 57.8% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.8% vs Foligno 49.8% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 56.8%
Defensive zone
Foligno 73.0%
Neutral zone
Foligno 61.4%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 59.7%
40.3%
59.7%
Lindholm
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Lindholm
Foligno
Last 8: Lindholm 3-5 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
0
Lindholm
Foligno
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lindholm
Foligno
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
4
Lindholm
Foligno
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (722)
49.0% (261)
+5.4%
Power Play
62.2% (164)
57.1% (42)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (83)
47.1% (51)
+2.3%
On even strength, Lindholm has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Lindholm is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (699).
Lindholm shoots right. Foligno is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Foligno
Home
55.8% (541)
48.9% (178)
Away
54.7% (428)
50.6% (176)
By Period
Lindholm
Foligno
P1
54.8%
40.4%
P2
55.7%
55.8%
P3
55.6%
51.2%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.8%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.3%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 19:10 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 18:50 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 13:59 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 13:44 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 11:45 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 04:07 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:15 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 08:50 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |