Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Lindholm wins 58.1% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.8% vs O'Reilly 57.6% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 56.5%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 77.7%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 59.0%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 65.9%
34.1%
65.9%
Lindholm
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Lindholm
O'Reilly
Last 10: Lindholm 7-3 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
5
1
Lindholm
O'Reilly
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Lindholm
O'Reilly
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lindholm
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (494)
57.9% (1,179)
-3.9%
Power Play
66.3% (83)
63.0% (292)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
53.4% (58)
53.8% (320)
-0.4%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Lindholm is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Lindholm shoots right. O'Reilly is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (696).
Home / Away
Lindholm
O'Reilly
Home
60.2% (314)
61.3% (884)
Away
51.1% (321)
54.8% (907)
By Period
Lindholm
O'Reilly
P1
59.8%
55.5%
P2
53.9%
61.0%
P3
52.7%
56.8%
OT
66.7%
67.7%
Final 5 min
52.6%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.6%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2017 | 3 | 09:39 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 2 | 17:13 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 2 | 06:51 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 1 | 13:24 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 3 | 19:36 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 2 | 19:14 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 17, 2016 | OT | 03:01 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 17, 2016 | OT | 00:13 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 3 | 17:56 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 3 | 14:17 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 3 | 12:12 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 2 | 03:12 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 1 | 12:31 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 1 | 12:11 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |