Elias Lindholm vs Ryan O'Reilly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 56 meetings). Lindholm wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.8% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 103-70 in 173 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 71.2%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 74.1%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 75.4%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 73.5%
26.5%
73.5%
Lindholm
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
103
-
70
(173 meetings)
103
70
Lindholm
O'Reilly
Last 10: Lindholm 9-1 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
36
26
Lindholm
O'Reilly
62 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
32
23
Lindholm
O'Reilly
55 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
35
21
Lindholm
O'Reilly
56 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (8,505)
56.2% (15,260)
-2.4%
Power Play
59.3% (1,734)
58.8% (3,445)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (1,610)
51.4% (2,811)
-3.3%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Lindholm is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,111).
Lindholm shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (7,689).
Home / Away
Lindholm
O'Reilly
Home
54.1% (5,943)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
53.6% (5,906)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Lindholm
O'Reilly
P1
54.1%
55.6%
P2
54.5%
57.0%
P3
53.0%
55.1%
OT
53.6%
62.2%
Final 5 min
52.6%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
53.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 10:27 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 07:54 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 16:44 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 12:00 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 11:51 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 05:32 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 05:08 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 17:04 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 16:57 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 11:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 04:25 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 09:40 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 06:04 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 13:04 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 11:07 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 07:00 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |