Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 14 meetings). Lindholm wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.9% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 29-17 in 46 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 54.6%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 91.3%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 61.8%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 68.4%
68.4%
31.6%
Lindholm
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
29
-
17
(46 meetings)
29
17
Lindholm
O'Reilly
Last 10: Lindholm 7-3 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
8
7
Lindholm
O'Reilly
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
10
4
Lindholm
O'Reilly
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
11
6
Lindholm
O'Reilly
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (944)
55.0% (1,084)
+2.3%
Power Play
61.1% (162)
56.8% (303)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (230)
40.3% (149)
+8.8%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Lindholm is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,080).
Lindholm shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (555).
Home / Away
Lindholm
O'Reilly
Home
55.2% (667)
54.8% (759)
Away
57.5% (669)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Lindholm
O'Reilly
P1
54.7%
55.3%
P2
55.5%
51.9%
P3
58.5%
54.2%
OT
64.7%
64.7%
Final 5 min
53.4%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
56.4%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 13:43 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 10:53 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 05:34 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 05:28 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 08:12 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 04:18 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 02:34 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 01:20 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 19:20 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 16:59 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 05:12 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 03:48 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 11:56 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 05:00 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 15:46 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 04:21 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 04:13 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 17:21 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 17:02 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |