Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lindholm wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.0% vs O'Reilly 59.5% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 70.3%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 69.1%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 69.7%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 69.6%
69.6%
30.4%
Lindholm
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Lindholm
O'Reilly
Last 5: Lindholm 0-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Lindholm
O'Reilly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
3
Lindholm
O'Reilly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (598)
60.3% (1,517)
-7.3%
Power Play
62.2% (111)
61.5% (387)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
54.8% (84)
55.0% (220)
-0.2%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Lindholm is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (587).
Lindholm shoots right. O'Reilly is 59.7% vs right-shot opponents (713).
Home / Away
Lindholm
O'Reilly
Home
58.6% (403)
62.5% (1,143)
Away
50.3% (390)
57.1% (981)
By Period
Lindholm
O'Reilly
P1
59.2%
56.8%
P2
54.2%
64.6%
P3
50.0%
58.5%
OT
66.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.3%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
54.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
60.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2017 | 2 | 12:33 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 2 | 10:03 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 2 | 09:09 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 1 | 17:37 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 1 | 15:09 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |