Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs Evans 55.4% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 90.1%
Defensive zone
Evans 56.0%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 68.6%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Pettersson
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Pettersson
Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Evans
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
3
Pettersson
Evans
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (790)
56.2% (477)
-10.3%
Power Play
55.4% (242)
70.0% (10)
-14.6%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (107)
55.4% (204)
-19.9%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Pettersson is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (408).
Pettersson shoots left. Evans is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (516).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Evans
Home
49.3% (584)
55.3% (374)
Away
44.5% (555)
57.1% (317)
By Period
Pettersson
Evans
P1
45.8%
58.5%
P2
47.9%
55.7%
P3
47.1%
53.9%
OT
47.1%
66.7%
Final 5 min
45.1%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.0%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 16:00 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 12:11 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 05:55 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 13:38 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |