Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Pettersson wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 50.7% vs Evans 52.0% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 80.1%
Defensive zone
Evans 78.0%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 51.1%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 65.6%
65.6%
34.4%
Pettersson
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Pettersson
Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Evans
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
0
1
Pettersson
Evans
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (698)
54.4% (807)
-4.0%
Power Play
63.2% (57)
55.0% (20)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
40.9% (44)
46.1% (310)
-5.2%
On power play, Pettersson has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Pettersson is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Pettersson shoots left. Evans is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Evans
Home
50.7% (420)
53.7% (581)
Away
50.9% (379)
50.5% (556)
By Period
Pettersson
Evans
P1
48.0%
54.6%
P2
47.6%
50.0%
P3
57.5%
52.3%
OT
30.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
51.1%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
50.8%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 08:52 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 1 | 19:52 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |