Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pettersson wins 38.0% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 44.8% vs Evans 51.7% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 75.5%
Defensive zone
Evans 58.9%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 54.4%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Pettersson
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Pettersson
Evans
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
2
Pettersson
Evans
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (912)
54.5% (483)
-10.4%
Power Play
61.5% (39)
58.3% (12)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (46)
43.9% (155)
-9.1%
On even strength, Evans has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Pettersson is 38.0% vs right-shot opponents (276).
Pettersson shoots left. Evans is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Evans
Home
45.0% (489)
49.4% (336)
Away
43.7% (508)
54.8% (314)
By Period
Pettersson
Evans
P1
46.0%
55.8%
P2
45.7%
51.7%
P3
42.2%
48.2%
OT
23.1%
100.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
44.3%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2022 | 3 | 07:32 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 3 | 02:06 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 2 | 12:09 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |