Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 12 meetings). Pettersson wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 46.0% vs Evans 52.2% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 15-14 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 85.1%
Defensive zone
Evans 83.2%
Neutral zone
Evans 51.2%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Pettersson
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
15
(29 meetings)
14
15
Pettersson
Evans
Last 10: Pettersson 6-4 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
12
0
Pettersson
Evans
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
12
Pettersson
Evans
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
0
3
Pettersson
Evans
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (4,569)
53.8% (3,695)
-8.5%
Power Play
54.6% (540)
60.0% (70)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (238)
47.1% (1,222)
-8.4%
On even strength, Evans has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Pettersson is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,755).
Pettersson shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,695).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Evans
Home
46.8% (2,734)
53.4% (2,593)
Away
45.1% (2,613)
51.0% (2,394)
By Period
Pettersson
Evans
P1
44.7%
54.0%
P2
46.0%
50.9%
P3
47.4%
52.0%
OT
39.7%
46.5%
Final 5 min
46.1%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
46.0%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 16:00 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 12:11 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 05:55 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 13:38 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 19:04 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 18:38 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 10:36 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 07:23 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 14:24 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 10:42 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 07:42 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 10:48 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 07:16 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 03:37 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 08:52 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 1 | 19:52 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 3 | 07:32 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 3 | 02:06 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 2 | 12:09 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 9, 2022 | 3 | 04:36 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |