Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Pettersson wins 38.5% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 45.0% vs Evans 49.8% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 80.3%
Defensive zone
Evans 69.8%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 52.4%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Pettersson
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Pettersson
Evans
Last 7: Pettersson 3-4 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
3
0
Pettersson
Evans
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
4
Pettersson
Evans
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (494)
51.3% (739)
-7.4%
Power Play
45.7% (35)
53.3% (15)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (11)
43.0% (172)
+2.5%
On power play, Evans has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Pettersson is 38.5% vs right-shot opponents (182).
Pettersson shoots left. Evans is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (667).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Evans
Home
45.5% (290)
52.1% (503)
Away
42.4% (250)
47.0% (423)
By Period
Pettersson
Evans
P1
40.2%
50.5%
P2
43.9%
47.7%
P3
48.8%
51.3%
OT
42.9%
40.0%
Final 5 min
37.5%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
44.1%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2022 | 3 | 04:36 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 9, 2022 | 2 | 19:47 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 9, 2022 | 1 | 11:50 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 3 | 08:07 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 2 | 09:31 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 2 | 09:22 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 2 | 02:12 | Defensive | Jake Evans |