Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.7% vs Evans 52.6% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Pettersson leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 52.8%
Defensive zone
Evans 92.9%
Neutral zone
Evans 76.8%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 59.3%
40.7%
59.3%
Pettersson
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Pettersson
Evans
Last 10: Pettersson 7-3 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
7
0
Pettersson
Evans
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
2
Pettersson
Evans
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
0
1
Pettersson
Evans
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (790)
54.4% (824)
-8.1%
Power Play
53.1% (147)
66.7% (9)
-13.6%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (27)
48.1% (289)
+3.8%
On power play, Evans has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Pettersson is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Pettersson shoots left. Evans is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (838).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Evans
Home
48.1% (489)
55.1% (541)
Away
46.9% (475)
50.8% (581)
By Period
Pettersson
Evans
P1
47.4%
51.8%
P2
48.3%
53.3%
P3
46.6%
53.8%
OT
55.6%
38.5%
Final 5 min
47.2%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.5%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 19:04 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 18:38 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 10:36 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 07:23 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 14:24 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 10:42 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 07:42 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 10:48 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 07:16 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 03:37 | Neutral | Jake Evans |