Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Pettersson wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 45.0% vs Hayes 43.8% (+1.3%)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 59.0%
Defensive zone
Hayes 57.8%
Neutral zone
Hayes 55.0%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Pettersson
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (494)
42.7% (478)
+1.2%
Power Play
45.7% (35)
42.9% (98)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (11)
45.2% (31)
+0.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Pettersson is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (358).
Pettersson shoots left. Hayes is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Hayes
Home
45.5% (290)
43.5% (232)
Away
42.4% (250)
42.4% (375)
By Period
Pettersson
Hayes
P1
40.2%
40.1%
P2
43.9%
44.8%
P3
48.8%
42.4%
OT
42.9%
80.0%
Final 5 min
37.5%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
44.1%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%