Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Pettersson wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs Hayes 42.7% (+11.2%)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 52.5%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 60.3%
Neutral zone
Hayes 53.7%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Pettersson
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (790)
31.9% (91)
+14.0%
Power Play
55.4% (242)
64.3% (14)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (107)
0.0% (1)
+35.5%
On penalty kill, Pettersson has a +35.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Pettersson is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (730).
Pettersson shoots left. Hayes is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Hayes
Home
49.3% (584)
30.6% (49)
Away
44.5% (555)
40.4% (57)
By Period
Pettersson
Hayes
P1
45.8%
22.9%
P2
47.9%
40.0%
P3
47.1%
44.4%
Final 5 min
45.1%
30.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.0%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%