Elias Pettersson vs Kevin Hayes
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Pettersson wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 46.0% vs Hayes 47.7% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 63.4%
Defensive zone
Hayes 58.6%
Neutral zone
Hayes 51.3%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Pettersson
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Pettersson
Hayes
Last 10: Pettersson 4-6 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
5
2
Pettersson
Hayes
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
5
Pettersson
Hayes
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Pettersson
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (4,569)
47.5% (6,708)
-2.2%
Power Play
54.6% (540)
51.7% (702)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (238)
45.3% (697)
-6.6%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Pettersson is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,591).
Pettersson shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Hayes
Home
46.8% (2,734)
48.1% (3,982)
Away
45.1% (2,613)
47.3% (4,125)
By Period
Pettersson
Hayes
P1
44.7%
47.5%
P2
46.0%
47.6%
P3
47.4%
47.9%
OT
39.7%
54.1%
Final 5 min
46.1%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
46.0%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 15:01 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 1 | 03:51 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 1 | 03:43 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 12:58 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 3 | 05:39 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 1 | 03:28 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 09:18 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 05:35 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 12, 2018 | 3 | 10:31 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 12, 2018 | 3 | 04:30 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 12, 2018 | 2 | 17:33 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 12, 2018 | 2 | 12:42 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 12, 2018 | 2 | 00:44 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 12, 2018 | 1 | 18:47 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 12, 2018 | 1 | 10:57 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |