Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Pettersson wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.7% vs Hayes 51.7% (-4.6%)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 52.2%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 51.5%
Neutral zone
Hayes 51.6%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Pettersson
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (790)
51.6% (386)
-5.3%
Power Play
53.1% (147)
53.2% (47)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (27)
60.0% (20)
-8.1%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Pettersson is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Pettersson shoots left. Hayes is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Hayes
Home
48.1% (489)
50.5% (200)
Away
46.9% (475)
53.4% (253)
By Period
Pettersson
Hayes
P1
47.4%
58.8%
P2
48.3%
49.3%
P3
46.6%
48.0%
OT
55.6%
66.7%
Final 5 min
47.2%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.5%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
52.1%