Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Pettersson wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 44.8% vs Hayes 49.5% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 72.1%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 51.1%
Neutral zone
Hayes 71.8%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 60.5%
39.5%
60.5%
Pettersson
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Pettersson
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Hayes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (912)
48.5% (557)
-4.4%
Power Play
61.5% (39)
53.3% (107)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (46)
58.3% (12)
-23.5%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +23.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Pettersson is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Pettersson shoots left. Hayes is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Hayes
Home
45.0% (489)
50.8% (313)
Away
43.7% (508)
48.2% (363)
By Period
Pettersson
Hayes
P1
46.0%
52.3%
P2
45.7%
47.7%
P3
42.2%
48.4%
OT
23.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▲
41.5%
44.3%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 09:18 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 05:35 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |