Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall. Pettersson wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 45.2% vs Duchene 55.3% (-14.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 74.7%
Defensive zone
Duchene 72.2%
Neutral zone
Duchene 85.5%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 81.5%
18.5%
81.5%
Pettersson
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Pettersson
Duchene
Last 6: Pettersson 4-2 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Duchene
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Duchene
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Pettersson
Duchene
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (137)
56.0% (579)
-14.4%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
59.3% (108)
-26.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
25.0% (8)
+75.0%
On penalty kill, Pettersson has a +75.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Pettersson is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (98).
Pettersson shoots left. Duchene is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (454).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Duchene
Home
45.1% (71)
54.9% (375)
Away
38.6% (70)
57.5% (320)
By Period
Pettersson
Duchene
P1
39.6%
58.3%
P2
33.3%
56.7%
P3
52.2%
53.1%
OT
50.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
36.7%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▲
41.5%
41.8%
Duchene
52.0%▲
49.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2020 | 3 | 04:05 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 08:07 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 3 | 11:41 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 3 | 11:34 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 3 | 00:43 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 2 | 16:25 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |