Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 50.7% vs Duchene 55.6% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 64.0%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 64.1%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 64.8%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 64.5%
64.5%
35.5%
Pettersson
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Pettersson
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Pettersson
Duchene
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
2
Pettersson
Duchene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (698)
56.5% (566)
-6.1%
Power Play
63.2% (57)
61.3% (62)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
40.9% (44)
22.2% (9)
+18.7%
On penalty kill, Pettersson has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Pettersson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (544).
Pettersson shoots left. Duchene is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Duchene
Home
50.7% (420)
56.6% (318)
Away
50.9% (379)
56.4% (319)
By Period
Pettersson
Duchene
P1
48.0%
57.2%
P2
47.6%
55.1%
P3
57.5%
55.6%
OT
30.0%
81.3%
Final 5 min
51.1%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
50.8%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 16:52 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 01:23 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 04:02 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |