Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Pettersson wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 45.0% vs Duchene 52.8% (-10.0%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 64.5%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 71.2%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 51.4%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Pettersson
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (494)
46.9% (162)
-3.0%
Power Play
45.7% (35)
73.2% (56)
-27.5%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (11)
100.0% (2)
-54.5%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +54.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Pettersson is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (358).
Pettersson shoots left. Duchene is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Duchene
Home
45.5% (290)
58.4% (125)
Away
42.4% (250)
48.4% (95)
By Period
Pettersson
Duchene
P1
40.2%
56.9%
P2
43.9%
52.5%
P3
48.8%
51.9%
OT
42.9%
80.0%
Final 5 min
37.5%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
44.1%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%