Elias Pettersson vs Nathan MacKinnon
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.3% vs 44.4%). Look for MacKinnon on neutral-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings). Pettersson wins 38.0% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 44.8% vs MacKinnon 44.9% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 56.7%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 56.2%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 57.1%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Pettersson
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
9
(14 meetings)
5
9
Pettersson
MacKinnon
Last 10: Pettersson 3-7 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Pettersson
MacKinnon
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pettersson
MacKinnon
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
4
7
Pettersson
MacKinnon
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (912)
44.7% (1,053)
-0.6%
Power Play
61.5% (39)
36.8% (95)
+24.7%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (46)
65.0% (20)
-30.2%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +30.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Pettersson is 38.0% vs right-shot opponents (276).
Pettersson shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Pettersson
MacKinnon
Home
45.0% (489)
49.4% (553)
Away
43.7% (508)
40.0% (615)
By Period
Pettersson
MacKinnon
P1
46.0%
45.3%
P2
45.7%
42.7%
P3
42.2%
45.1%
OT
23.1%
46.2%
Final 5 min
46.0%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▲
41.5%
44.3%
MacKinnon
54.0%▬
54.5%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2023 | 2 | 08:41 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 20, 2023 | 1 | 17:40 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 1 | 09:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 14:28 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 09:29 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 09:15 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 12:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 11:27 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |