Elias Pettersson vs Nathan MacKinnon
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Pettersson wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 50.7% vs MacKinnon 46.5% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 71.8%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 65.2%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 71.4%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 70.3%
70.3%
29.7%
Pettersson
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Pettersson
MacKinnon
Last 5: Pettersson 4-1 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
0
Pettersson
MacKinnon
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Pettersson
MacKinnon
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
0
Pettersson
MacKinnon
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (698)
45.5% (1,190)
+4.9%
Power Play
63.2% (57)
56.4% (94)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
40.9% (44)
40.0% (30)
+0.9%
On power play, Pettersson has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Pettersson is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Pettersson shoots left. MacKinnon is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (905).
Home / Away
Pettersson
MacKinnon
Home
50.7% (420)
47.8% (670)
Away
50.9% (379)
44.6% (644)
By Period
Pettersson
MacKinnon
P1
48.0%
45.3%
P2
47.6%
48.5%
P3
57.5%
45.0%
OT
30.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.1%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
50.8%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 18:20 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 15:12 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 01:11 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 15:41 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 15:25 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |