Elias Pettersson vs Nathan MacKinnon
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.7% vs MacKinnon 49.9% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 67.5%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 55.4%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 63.1%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 62.7%
37.3%
62.7%
Pettersson
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Pettersson
MacKinnon
Last 6: Pettersson 4-2 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
2
Pettersson
MacKinnon
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
0
Pettersson
MacKinnon
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (790)
49.2% (1,266)
-2.9%
Power Play
53.1% (147)
54.9% (193)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (27)
49.1% (55)
+2.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Pettersson is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Pettersson shoots left. MacKinnon is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,100).
Home / Away
Pettersson
MacKinnon
Home
48.1% (489)
50.9% (740)
Away
46.9% (475)
49.0% (774)
By Period
Pettersson
MacKinnon
P1
47.4%
50.9%
P2
48.3%
51.8%
P3
46.6%
47.1%
OT
55.6%
58.8%
Final 5 min
47.2%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▲
41.5%
47.5%
MacKinnon
54.0%▬
54.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 00:30 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 14:17 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 13:49 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 09:01 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 3 | 11:16 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 2 | 02:52 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |