Elias Pettersson vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.0% vs 46.8%). Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 15 meetings). Pettersson wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 46.0% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 26-25 in 51 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 54.7%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 56.2%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 51.5%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Pettersson
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
26
(51 meetings)
25
26
Pettersson
MacKinnon
Last 10: Pettersson 6-4 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
5
10
Pettersson
MacKinnon
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
8
3
Pettersson
MacKinnon
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
12
13
Pettersson
MacKinnon
25 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (4,569)
46.1% (11,218)
-0.8%
Power Play
54.6% (540)
53.3% (1,412)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (238)
42.8% (502)
-4.1%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Pettersson is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,755).
Pettersson shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
Home / Away
Pettersson
MacKinnon
Home
46.8% (2,734)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
45.1% (2,613)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
Pettersson
MacKinnon
P1
44.7%
47.4%
P2
46.0%
46.6%
P3
47.4%
46.1%
OT
39.7%
48.4%
Final 5 min
46.1%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
46.0%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 19:31 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 16:30 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 03:24 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 16:49 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 19:23 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 06:56 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 05:26 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 9, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 09:10 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 07:26 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 06:45 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 02:57 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 19:41 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 19:32 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 19:25 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 16:24 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |