Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pettersson wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 44.8% vs Steel 48.8% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 61.1%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 63.6%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 61.9%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 62.5%
62.5%
37.5%
Pettersson
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Pettersson
Steel
Last 6: Pettersson 1-5 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
2
Pettersson
Steel
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
1
2
Pettersson
Steel
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Pettersson
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (912)
49.5% (553)
-5.4%
Power Play
61.5% (39)
61.3% (31)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (46)
30.6% (49)
+4.2%
On even strength, Steel has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Pettersson is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Pettersson shoots left. Steel is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (378).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Steel
Home
45.0% (489)
46.4% (347)
Away
43.7% (508)
51.4% (286)
By Period
Pettersson
Steel
P1
46.0%
52.1%
P2
45.7%
49.8%
P3
42.2%
45.2%
OT
23.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▲
41.5%
44.3%
Steel
46.0%▼
48.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2022 | 3 | 07:46 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 3 | 05:41 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 1 | 10:43 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 1 | 03:36 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 1 | 00:55 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 06:58 | Neutral | Sam Steel |