Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Pettersson wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs Steel 50.6% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 70.2%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 57.5%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 62.8%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 59.3%
59.3%
40.7%
Pettersson
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Pettersson
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
2
Pettersson
Steel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Pettersson
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (790)
52.5% (200)
-6.6%
Power Play
55.4% (242)
71.4% (7)
-16.0%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (107)
40.0% (45)
-4.5%
On power play, Steel has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Pettersson is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (730).
Pettersson shoots left. Steel is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Steel
Home
49.3% (584)
49.5% (109)
Away
44.5% (555)
51.7% (143)
By Period
Pettersson
Steel
P1
45.8%
49.5%
P2
47.9%
47.5%
P3
47.1%
56.6%
OT
47.1%
40.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.0%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 18:29 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 05:50 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 04:50 | Defensive | Sam Steel |